Is this the beginning of the end for Trump?

In reëlecting him in 2024, the United States created a different kind of problem for itself: a President who is himself the crisis.

The new Congress, no matter how blue it is, is highly unlikely to change that. The Constitution’s requirement of a two-thirds super-majority to remove a leader guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors is an all but insurmountable barrier in a country that has become as divided as this one. Trump, America’s only twice-impeached, twice-acquitted President, has already proven that point in his first term. According to most recent polls, Democrats are right now dreaming of, at best, a Senate majority in the low fifties, and they may not even get that.

But elections are another, arguably just as powerful, constitutional constraint on any President, this one included. And with only hours to go until we know the results of the 2026 midterms, I cannot overemphasize the extent to which Political Washington—the Ds, most of the Rs, the polling wonks, the press—believes this time is different for Trump.

Read the whole piece by Susan B. Glasser at The New Yorker (also Archived)